Proceedings of International Conference on Applied Innovation in IT  ·  2026/06/12  ·  Vol. 14  ·  Issue 4  ·  pp. 361–369
Bayesian Approach of Birnbaum-Saunders Quantile Regression via Jeffreys nd Weakly Informative Priors
Raghda Zeyad Tariq and Omar Abdulmohsin Ali
In this article we propose a general Bayesian estimation framework for the Birnbaum-Saunders Quantile Regression (BSQ) model which is used to analyze asymmetric and heterogeneous economic data. In this work, the novel aspect is the joint incorporation of several existing surrogate structures (with different degrees of approximation) and decision-theoretic loss functions (with direct impact on estimation performance trade-offs) under a common BSQ framework conducive to systematic testing of their effect on quantile estimation performance. We consider two previous prior specifications which are Jeffreys prior and weakly informative priors together with three loss functions quadratic, LINEX and the proposed quadratic-logarithmic loss function. Iraqi economic data analysis demonstrates significant disparities in independent variable impacts across quantiles, confirming heterogeneous distribution. The results show further that Jeffreys prior yields more consistent estimates in most quantiles, whereas weakly informative priors give better coverage under the tail. Also, this highlights the importance of choosing a loss function and motivates asymmetric and hybrid loss functions for improved accuracy, especially in extreme quantiles. This contribution expands upon previous works by introducing a new general comparative framework that overextends the potential of Bayesian BSQ modelling, providing robustness and flexibility in such context with significant practical function resulting estimation improves in economic real-world applications.
Bayesian Estimation Birnbaum-Saunders Quantile Regression Jeffreys Prior Weakly Informative Prior
References
  1. R. Koenker and G. Bassett, “Regression quantiles,” Econometrica, vol. 46, no. 1, pp. 33-50, 1978.
  2. R. Koenker, Quantile Regression. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2005.
  3. Y. Yu and R. A. Moyeed, “Bayesian quantile regression,” Statistics & Probability Letters, vol. 54, no. 4, pp. 437-447, 2001.
  4. Z. W. Birnbaum and S. C. Saunders, “A new family of life distributions,” Journal of Applied Probability, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 319-327, 1969.
  5. V. Leiva, The Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution. London, UK: Academic Press, 2016.
  6. M. F. Barros, V. Leiva, and M. Galea, “Birnbaum-Saunders quantile regression models for asymmetric data,” Statistical Papers, vol. 61, no. 2, pp. 813-832, 2020.
  7. A. Gelman, J. B. Carlin, H. S. Stern, and D. B. Rubin, Bayesian Data Analysis, 3rd ed. Boca Raton, FL, USA: CRC Press, 2014.
  8. L. Sánchez, V. Leiva, M. Galea, and H. Saulo, “Birnbaum-Saunders quantile regression and its diagnostics with application to economic data,” Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 461-486, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2556.
  9. L. Sánchez Melo, “Birnbaum-Saunders Quantile Regression Models,” Ph.D. dissertation, Universidad de La Frontera, Temuco, Chile, 2020.
  10. J. K. Ghosh and S. K. Mitra, “Bayesian inference using Jeffreys prior,” Sankhya B, vol. 73, no. 2, pp. 209-225, 2011.
  11. A. Gelman, “Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models,” Bayesian Analysis, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 515-533, 2006.
  12. A. Zellner, “Bayesian estimation and prediction using asymmetric loss functions,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol. 81, no. 394, pp. 446-451, 1986.
  13. I. Sudibyo, “Consumption Contribution to Economy Growth,” ScienceOpen Preprints, 2024, doi: 10.14293/S2199-1006.1.SOR-.PPVQHAO.v4.


Proceedings of the International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT by Anhalt University of Applied Sciences is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0
 ·  This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

ICAIIT 2026
International Conference on Applied Innovation in IT
Navigation
Publisher
ISSN2199-8876
Location Anhalt University of Applied Sciences
Phone +49 (0) 3496 67 5611
Address Building 01, Room 425
Bernburger Str. 55
D-06366 Köthen, Germany
Open Access License

All works are licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-SA 4.0), unless otherwise noted.

Published by ICAIIT in cooperation with Anhalt University of Applied Sciences.

© 2026 ICAIIT — International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT. Anhalt University of Applied Sciences, Köthen, Germany.
Visitors: site traffic counter