Proceedings of International Conference on Applied Innovation in IT  ·  2025/12/22  ·  Vol. 13  ·  Issue 5  ·  pp. 781–786
Reliability Estimation of the Alpha Power Fréchet Distribution Using MLE and GA
Reda Adel Nasser Al-Shaheen and Ali Naser Hussein
Studying failure data requires a flexible distribution to interpret the probabilistic behavior of these data. Therefore, the reliability function of the Alpha–Power Fréchet (APF) distribution was used to study the failure data. The Alpha power transformation was applied to the classical Fréchet distribution to develop a more flexible model capable of handling heterogeneous datasets. The probability density function, cumulative distribution function, and the corresponding reliability function for the APF distribution were derived. The maximum likelihood method and the genetic algorithm were used to estimate the reliability function of the Alpha–Power Fréchet distribution. A simulation study was conducted with various sample sizes (ranging from n=15 to n=500) and multiple different parameter combinations to evaluate the performance of both estimators. The comparison was based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) criterion. The results revealed that the maximum likelihood method (MLE) showed a decrease in MSE values directly proportional to the increase in sample size, confirming its consistency and superior accuracy for large samples. Meanwhile, the genetic algorithm (GA) showed a robust performance that outperformed the maximum likelihood method for small and medium samples, making it a viable alternative in such cases, despite a noted tendency to slightly overestimate the reliability value.
Alpha Power Fréchet. Power Alpha Reliability Maximum Likelihood Genetic Algorithm.
References
  1. A. Ralston and P. Rabinowitz, A First Course in Numerical Analysis, 2nd ed. Dover Publications, 2001, pp. 83–92.
  2. M. Ali, A. Khalil, M. Ijaz, and N. Saeed, “Alpha-power exponentiated inverse Rayleigh distribution and its applications to real and simulated data,” PLOS One, vol. 16, no. 1, p. e0245253, 2021.
  3. Daskalov, “Genetic algorithms for parameter estimation of a fermentation process model: A comparison,” Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia, Bulgaria, pp. 19–28, 2005.
  4. E. Castillo, A. S. Hadi, N. Balakrishnan, and J. M. Sarabia, Extreme Value and Related Models with Applications in Engineering and Science. Wiley, 2005.
  5. M. Elbatal, M. Egarhy, and M. G. Kibria, “Alpha power transformed Weibull-G family of distributions: Theory and applications,” Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 340–354, 2021.
  6. R. K. Shawai, “Estimating the parameters of the extended generalized extreme value distribution with application to temperatures in Iraq,” Master’s thesis, University of Basra, 2024.
  7. A. Zubair, I. Muhammad, and G. Hamedai, “The extended alpha power transformed distribution,” Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications, vol. 17, no. 4, pp. 726–741, 2019.
  8. N. Hussein, “Finding an efficient algorithm for estimating the parameters of the mixed Weibull distribution (application to wind speed in Iraq),” Ph.D. dissertation, College of Administration and Economics, University of Baghdad, 2015.
  9. A. Pourrajabian, “Applying genetic algorithm for solving nonlinear algebraic equations,” Elsevier, 2013, pp. 11483–11494.
  10. E. Demir and Ö. Akkuş, “An introductory study on how the genetic algorithm works in the parameter estimation of binary logit model,” International Journal of Social, Behavioral, Educational, Economic, Business and Industrial Engineering (IJSBAR), pp. 162–180, 2015.
  11. Z. M. Nasser, “Forecasting using an artificial neural network and hybridizing it with a chaotic genetic algorithm and its application to governorate bank data,” Master’s thesis, Department of Statistics, College of Administration and Economics, University of Basra, Jan. 25, 2025.
  12. Z. K. M. Al-Qurashi, “Estimating the reliability of multicomponent stress-strength using some alpha power distributions with practical application,” Ph.D. dissertation, College of Administration and Economics, University of Karbala, 2023.

Proceedings of the International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT by Anhalt University of Applied Sciences is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0  ·  This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

ICAIIT 2026
International Conference on Applied Innovation in IT
Navigation
Publisher
ISSN2199-8876
Location Anhalt University of Applied Sciences
Phone +49 (0) 3496 67 5611
Address Building 01, Room 425
Bernburger Str. 55
D-06366 Köthen, Germany
Open Access License

All works are licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-SA 4.0), unless otherwise noted.

Published by ICAIIT in cooperation with Anhalt University of Applied Sciences.

© 2026 ICAIIT — International Conference on Applied Innovations in IT. Anhalt University of Applied Sciences, Köthen, Germany.
Visitors: site traffic counter